Tuesday, 11 August 2020

BEWARE THE THREAT FROM CHINA

American policymakers have long assumed that Chinese and American goals in the Middle East are largely complementary. Beijing, so the prevailing wisdom holds, is fixated on commerce, with a special emphasis on oil and gas. “China’s strategy in the Middle East is driven by its economic interests,” a former senior official in the Obama administration testified last year before Congress. “China … does not appear interested in substantially deepening its diplomatic or security activities there.”
 
According to this reigning view, China adopts a position of neutrality toward political and military conflicts, because taking sides would make enemies who might then restrict China’s access to markets.

This oft-repeated shibboleth ignores clear signs that China is very actively engaged in a hard-power contest with the United States—a contest that the Chinese occasionally acknowledge and are capable of winning. In 2016, Xi Jinping toured the Middle East for the first time in his capacity as president of the People’s Republic of China, visiting Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Iran. Chinese propaganda hailed the trip as a milestone. The Chinese Foreign Ministry issued a 
white paper on its Arab policy, the first of its kind. “We will deepen China-Arab military cooperation and exchange,” the paper read. “We will … deepen cooperation on weapons, equipment and various specialized technologies, and carry out joint military exercises.”

The following year, in 2017, the Chinese navy opened a naval base in Djibouti, the first overseas base it has ever established—a tacit renunciation of the traditional Chinese credo of noninterventionism. Djibouti sits on the southern end of the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, which guards the passage to the Red Sea and the Suez Canal from the Gulf of Aden. On the northern end, only 18 miles away, lies Yemen.

China is advancing on the Middle East with ruthless determination, because the region is of more vital interest to China than any other, aside from the Western Pacific. Indeed, China is actively working to oust the United States from the Middle East—a reality that the American strategic community would overwhelmingly prefer not to recognize, but one that is nonetheless becoming glaringly obvious.

Don’t believe us? Ask the Uighurs, the brutalized people of Xinjiang province, which the Chinese government is actively colonizing by moving in millions of ethnic Han Chinese. The lucky among the Uighurs, who number some 11 million in total, are trapped in an inescapable web of surveillance and oppression. The unlucky ones, numbering perhaps 1 million, are interned in ideological indoctrination camps where they are exploited as slave labor, tortured, and, according to recent reports, subjected to forced sterilizations.

Monday, 10 August 2020

Sunday, 9 August 2020

EMPEROR PENGUINS DOING FINE - DESPITE "WORST CASE" MODEL PREDICTIONS

This article explains how reality is exposing the failure of computer models, just as with polar bears the reality is that they are doing well, but those in the media don't want to tell us that. 

Saturday, 8 August 2020

SO MUCH FOR "CHEAP" WIND ENERGY


This article looks at the claims made by Scottish Power boss, Keith Anderson that Wind energy was now "so low the projects may even help to make Britain’s energy cheaper."
It is easy to make such claims, but hard to substantiate them when your own companies cost data shows them to be false. 

This article also adds to the debate.

Friday, 7 August 2020

RENEWABLE ENERGY USES RESOURCES JUST AS MUCH AS FOSSIL FUEL


This article explains that simply because energy is called renewable does not mean that it does not require a lot of resources in order to obtain that energy.

Here is a short extract:
"No energy system, in short, is actually “renewable,” since all machines require the continual mining and processing of millions of tons of primary materials and the disposal of hardware that inevitably wears out. Compared with hydrocarbons, green machines entail, on average, a 10-fold increase in the quantities of materials extracted and processed to produce the same amount of energy."
Tell that to a Friend of the Earth.

Thursday, 6 August 2020

SEA LEVEL RISE

A study of the Newlyn (UK) sea level measurements discusses how different instruments and different time frames give totally different trends. The text states:
 

“The record of monthly MSL [Mean Sea Level] at Newlyn during the past century shows that the average increase of MSL for the complete record and for the recent period 1993–2014 are 1.8mm/year [tidal gauge]) and 3.8 mm/year [satellites]* respectively. (we use 1993 somewhat arbitrarily for the start of the modern era in sea level monitoring as that was when precise altimeter information from space became available). 

High rates of sea level increase were observed in previous 22-year periods, including those centred on approximately 1926, 1950, and 1980 (with rates of approximately 3 mm/year), with the lowest rates centred on 1934 and 1968 (approximately 0 mm/year), with such accelerations and decelerations in the record similar to those seen in other parts of the world (Woodworth et al. 2009b). The variability and long-term trend in the Newlyn MSL record are similar to those at Brest (W√∂ppelmann et al. 2006), although some differences become apparent in a detailed comparison (Douglas 2008), and at other stations in the North Sea area (Wahl et al. 2013). 

*The noticeable difference in rate (a ratio of at least 1:2) between the two data sets still has no broadly accepted explanation. 
 

Wednesday, 5 August 2020

SIX REASONS WHY WE CANNOT MAKE ACCURATE PREDICTIONS ABOUT FUTURE CLIMATE

1) The climate system is never in equilibrium.  

2) The core of the system consists of two turbulent fluids interacting with each other and unevenly heated by the sun, which results in transport of heat from the equator towards the poles (meridional) creating ocean cycles that may take 1,000 years to complete. 

3) The two most important substances in the greenhouse effect are water vapor and clouds, which are not fully understood and are not stable.  

4) A vital component of the atmosphere is water in its liquid, solid, and vapor phases and the changes in phases have immense dynamic consequences. 

5) Doubling carbon dioxide, (CO2), creates a 2% disturbance to the normal flow of energy into the system and out of the system, which is similar to the disturbance created by changes in clouds and other natural features. 

6) Temperatures in the tropics have been extremely stable. It is the temperature differences between the tropics and polar regions that are extremely important. Calculations such as global average temperature largely ignore this important difference. 

Tuesday, 4 August 2020

WHY WE MUST REVISE THE ASSESSMENT OF WHAT IS A SAFE LEVEL OF NUCLEAR RADIATION


This article looks at the way safety in dealing with nuclear radiation has been assessed in the past and why it is wrong and must change. In the past it was decided that no level of radiation was safe, with the consequence that the cost of nuclear power plants has been driven up to ridiculously high levels and so uncompetitive that they were not built. For decades we have denied ourselves safe, affordable energy. 

Monday, 3 August 2020

COASTAL PROTECTION EXPERTS NOW ROUTINELY RAMP UP THE SEA LEVEL RISE SCARE IN REPORTS

Below is a short extract from a report into the failure of sea defences in my Council area at Milford-on-sea: 

"The first groynes were constructed at Milford-on-sea between 1867 and 1898. Studies of historical maps and aerial imagery indicate that in the period between 1872 and 1932 the cliff top was retreating at a rate of between 0.1 and 1.0m per annum. Additional structures were added in 1936, these localised defences restricted shoreline movement. The period 1932 to 1963 saw an increased erosion rate of up to 1.3m per annum. These defences were extended to the east and west in the 1960's resulting in the rate decreasing to around 0.1m per annum between 1963 and 2005.

This is consistent with observations by West (2020) that suggest that the cliffs were relatively stable until the last decade. However rising sea levels of up to 1.0m by 2105 (Royal Haskoning, 2011) combined with beach narrowing potentially as a result of adjacent sea defences reducing sediment supplies from the west are now resulting in more overtopping of the existing sea defences and more rapid cliff erosion."

Notice that the report seeks to blame the failure partly on sea level rise - not based on actual figures from nearby tide gauges, but instead from a report giving projections of future sea level rise. If they used the actual figures they would show that the sea level is only rising at under 2mm per year which equates to less than 20cm, or 8 inches per century

Sunday, 2 August 2020

WILL ELECTRIC VEHICLES EVER TAKE OFF?


Not according to This article by Paul Homewood. Why would the majority of people want to buy a vehicle which is more expensive and less reliable with quicker depreciation in value? 

Saturday, 1 August 2020

REMEMBER THE RECENT DECADE IS COOLER THAN THE PRECEDING ONE


This piece is an excellent debunk of the climate change hype that is constantly put out by the BBC and other media here. Here is a chart to confirm the headline to this article.

Indeed, decadal average temperatures have actually dropped slightly since 2000-2009:

image

https://www.thegwpf.com/new-paper-2019-floods-nothing-out-of-the-ordinary/

This is an important fact, and I am perplexed why the Met Office did not think to mention it. [I think we can all think of a reason - Ed]

 

Friday, 31 July 2020

ROMAN WARM PERIOD TWO DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY SAYS NEW STUDY

This article reinforces what many experts have said which is that our current slight warming is not exceptionable, but is merely the latest of many such warmings. The fact that the Mediterranean was 2 degrees warmer 2000 years ago has had no publicity in the mainstream media as obviously it does no fit the narrative of catastrophic warming of the planet.

WHAT DOES THE PETER RIDD AFFAIR TELL US?

This post gives us the details of what has been happening in Australia. No doubt this is a very important case for freedom of speech, and yet it has not figured at all in the mainstream UK media. The fact that the professor has lost in the High Court is a severe blow, but the good news is he is going to try to appeal it in the Supreme Court. 

Why should the courts be left to decide on such fundamental freedom issues? It is simply because the political leaders do not want to get involved.


Wednesday, 29 July 2020

LINKS RESTORED! BLOG BACK ON

Somehow I have managed to restore all the links on the blog, with no help from Blogger or Google! It happened by accident when I was trying to start a new blog. All I did was to apply a new "Theme" to the blog, which has changed its appearance a little and also restored the links somehow.

Thursday, 2 July 2020

THIS BLOG IS HAVING TO CLOSE

Despite making every effort to sort out the issue of links not working I have got nowhere with blogger or Google, who own them. Without being able to link to an article it defeats the purpose of this blog. I will now have to reduce my postings to occasional ones. 

Monday, 29 June 2020

ENERGY FOR AFRICA

London, 29 June: Today the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) is launching its Energy Justice project, seeking to highlight how reliable energy access is central to the problems of people and businesses in the developing world, and showing how it must be central to any attempts to change things for the better. 

Energy Justice is centred around a new website, that will highlight our research into some of these areas through reports and videos. To kick off the project, GWPF has designated this "Energy for Africa" week. 

Sunday, 28 June 2020

RADICAL GREEN SPOKESWOMAN CHANGES HER MIND ON NUCLEAR ENERGY


Daily Mail, 25 June 2020



Extinction Rebellion’s spokeswoman has quit the protest group to become a nuclear power campaigner.

Zion Lights, 36, has left the climate change cause, which brought London to a standstill last year, to join pro-nuke outfit Environmental Progress.

The former XR communications head said she had felt ‘duped’ after being surrounded by anti-nuclear campaigners until she read more into the radioactive fuel.

Zion Lights, pictured in mask and speaking at an event, has quit Extinction Rebellion after deciding nuclear power is the future
Mother-of-two Zion said: ‘The facts didn’t really change, but once I understood them I did change my mind.’

Zion, who was born in the West Midlands and given her unusual name as a baby, said: ‘I have a long history of campaigning on environmental issues, most recently as a spokesperson for Extinction Rebellion UK.

‘Now, I have quit the organisation to take up a position as a campaigner for nuclear power.’

Saturday, 27 June 2020

UNKNOWN BUT WELL RESOURCED BODIES KEEP UP THE CLIMATE PROPAGANDA

Have you heard of the IEMA ( Institute of Environmental Management & Assessment )? They are one of the dozens of organisations pushing for policies to reduce emissions of CO2 to "save the planet". Here is a link to their website:
https://www.iema.net/about-us/  They write to me regularly via email. Here is an extract from their latest email:

"As the UK experiences another heatwave, we are increasingly aware of climate change and the future challenges it will bring to our infrastructure and society."

This is the kind of subliminal message that we have become used to - suggesting that any spell of hot weather, which we would expect to have in any decent summer, must be seen as an artefact of climate change.  

 

Friday, 26 June 2020

BEWARE THE WORST CASE SCENARIO IN CLIMATE MODELING

Whenever you read a media story about how we’re heading toward catastrophe if we continue operating “business as usual” — i.e., if we don’t slash carbon emissions — the reports are almost always referring to a model simulation using RCP8.5. And you can bet that nowhere in the story will they explain that RCP8.5 is an implausible worst-case scenario that was never meant to represent a likely base case outcome, or that scientists have begun castigating its usage as a prediction of a doomed business-as-usual future.

The term RCP8.5 refers to a greenhouse gas emissions scenario often used by scientists for climate model projections. You might never have heard of RCP8.5 but you have definitely heard of forecasts based on it. Listening to the politicians who make the strongest pleas for radical climate action, it is clear that their fears for the future are driven by RCP8.5 scenarios, yet it is also clear that they have no idea what it is or what is wrong with it.

RCP stands for “Representative Concentration Pathways,” or projections of how much carbon dioxide (CO2) will accumulate in the atmosphere due to fossil fuel use over the coming century. The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) generated a set of four RCP scenarios a decade ago, attaching to each a number indicating how much “radiative forcing” (a measure of global warming potential) each one generates. RCP2.6 refers to a benign, low-end emission scenario with correspondingly minimal radiative forcing. In the middle are RCP4.5 and RCP6.0, and at the top end is RCP8.5, a scorcher that predicts historically unprecedented increases in global CO2 emissions.

To appreciate how implausible RCP8.5 is, consider its coal use trajectory. From the 1920s to the year 2000, global coal consumption stayed between 15 and 20 gigajoules per capita, peaking at 20 in 1960, falling back to 15 by 2000, then rising to about 23 earlier this decade with the sudden industrialization of China and India. Groups like the International Energy Agency expect it will gradually return to the 15-20 gigajoule per capita range by 2040.

The RCP8.5 scenario offers a different outcome. Instead of a return to normal, it projects coal use will rise to about 30 gigajoules by 2040, 45 gigajoules by 2060 and 70 gigajoules by 2100. No one seriously believes this is even possible, including people who use RCP8.5 in their climate simulations.

Thursday, 25 June 2020

THE INTER-CONNECTOR MERRY-GO-ROUND

On Saturday 23 May at about 8.30 pm the electricity interconnectors that link us to grids across the Channel were humming. France was supplying us with 152 MW and the Netherlands were supplying 466 MW. Meanwhile, however, the UK was supplying Belgium with 688 MW. 

The cables across the English Channel can only use direct current (DC), and the grids on both sides of the water use alternating current (AC). So the 600-odd megawatts of electricity coming from France and the Netherlands had to be converted from AC to DC and then back again.

A somewhat larger supply of power was, at the same time, sent to the Belgian interconnector, where it was converted to DC for its journey back across the water. At the other side it was converted back to AC for injection into the Belgian grid.
But each step along the way involves energy losses. 

 For electricity that does the full trip, from the Netherlands to the UK to Belgium, the conversion process is only 90% efficient. So 60 MW of electricity is simply being converted to heat and lost; at the windspeeds prevailing that weekend, this is the equivalent of the output of 150 onshore wind turbines.
And who pays for those losses? Why of course we, the electricity consumers, do.
 
Written by Mike Travers CEng, MIMechE, FIET who is a retired electrical engineer, having worked in the Royal Engineers, the hydroelectric sector, and in manufacturing industry.

Wednesday, 24 June 2020

COAL USE TO INCREASE IN CHINA

China’s New Coal Push As Relations With West Sour
Bloomberg, 16 June 2020

China’s embrace of coal could tighten even further if tensions with the U.S. escalate, with policymakers prioritising energy security over climate change. 

China will likely ease the pressure on local governments to shut older, inefficient coal mines as it seeks to meet rising demand of the most-polluting fuel to spur its economic recovery. 

Government officials are in the midst of preparing the country’s all-important five-year-plan, the guiding document for policy and industrial development from 2021 to 2025. Unlike the previous edition, when China made a major push to cut overcapacity to support prices and help miners struggling with mounting debt, the government isn’t likely to set any targets for mine closures, analysts forecast.

But the lack of a hard target now would underscore the continuing dependence on coal in China, which mines and burns half the world’s supply.

Tuesday, 23 June 2020

ENVIRONMEMT AGENCY CHIEF ACCUSED OF MAKING FALSE CLAIMS ABOUT UK WEATHER

The GWPF have today published an official press release criticising Sir James Bevan’s claims that the UK is “no longer a wet and rainy country”

A new report, The Great British Rain Paradox, has just been published, warning of potential water shortages in the UK in years to come.
It claims that the major factor for this is climate change. The foreword, written by the CEO of the Environment Agency Sir James Bevan, states:
"Climate change is causing long spells of dry weather that are putting our water resources under increased pressure. May 2020 has been the driest on record and exceptionally dry weather across the south east between 2017 and 2019 led to some of the lowest groundwater levels we have ever seen.”
These claims have no basis in fact. Official Met Office data shows that the UK has actually been getting wetter in recent decades.

May 2020 certainly was not the driest on record either – in the UK as a whole, it was only the ninth driest since records started in 1862. The driest May was in 1896.
Analysis of regional rainfall data also fails to support Sir James’ claims.
Neither does the claim of exceptionally dry weather in the South East of England stand up to scrutiny. Met Office data proves that rainfall there between 2017 and 2019 was in fact close to average.
There are undoubtedly good reasons why water shortages may occur in future, such as population growth and increased demands. Spurious claims about climate change will simply serve to draw attention away from these very real issues and the failure to expand storage and deal with water leaks.
GWPF director Dr Benny Peiser said

This is not the first time Sir James has been caught playing fast and loose with the facts to support a political agenda (3). He should apologise and issue a correction.”
Notes for editors
1) The Great British Rain Paradox is available here: https://www.savewatercleanclever.co.uk/content/dam/rbfinishposeidon/uk/report/The%20Report.pdf
2) Met Office rainfall data can be accessed here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-and-regional-series
3) James Bevan’s speech not supported by scientific evidence – Environment Agency: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/11/10/james-bevans-speech-not-supported-by-scientific-evidence-environment-agency
https://www.thegwpf.com/environment-agency-accused-of-making-false-claims-about-uk-weather/  

 

Monday, 22 June 2020

CLIMATE BILLIONS IN DOUBT AS BORIS CLOSES INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT

Advertisement
It’s All Over For The Green Blob’s Climate Billions Office
Ross Clark, Daily Mail, 17 June 2020

Boris Johnson’s historic decision to abolish the standalone Department for International Development (Dfid) and roll its functions into the Foreign Office is long overdue. 




 
Ever since David Cameron expanded Britain’s aid budget to 0.7 per cent of GDP, scandal after scandal has emerged about millions of pounds of hard-pressed UK taxpayers’ money being shovelled into dubious projects to meet this arbitrary target. 

The budget for this bloated department has reached an astonishing £14.6billion this year. Incredibly, Dfid now has 3,700 employees, and cost £326m to operate last year alone. 
 
For that, you’d expect money to be spent on vital projects truly improving the lives of desperate people in the world’s poorest countries. Sadly not. 
 
Here are a few examples of how taxpayers’ money was frittered away by this unlamented department:
 
Full story