Saturday 30 September 2023

COULD A TRUMP RETURN PUT AN END TO THE NET ZERO ERA?

 While in office, Trump boasted about wanting the US oil and gas industry to “drill, baby, drill,” implementing expansionist policies that enhanced the country’s energy security, rendering it almost energy independent before the Covid bust set in during 2020.


Nothing much appears to have changed in Trump’s general approach to the energy question, and he promises if elected in 2024 to quickly reverse much of the Biden Green New Deal approach starting on the day he is sworn into office. There is no reason to disbelieve that commitment.

So, assuming Sunak follows through on the legislative front and further assuming a Trump victory in 2024 (he leads Biden by 9 points in the new Washington Post/ABC poll released over the weekend), would a two-pronged rollback of Net Zero action by a pair of the developed world’s strongest democracies ring a death knell for the entire green energy push?

Friday 29 September 2023

COAL DEMAND STILL INCREASING ACROSS THE WORLD

 NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Asia's coal sector has gone from thinking they are in terminal decline as the world shifts to a net-zero carbon future to seeing themselves as being a part of the energy mix for decades to come, while raking in profits.


The bullish narrative was on full display at the industry's biggest gathering, the Coaltrans Asia conference held this week on the Indonesian resort island of Bali.

What has changed for the coal industry is that they no longer believe that renewable energies can be deployed fast enough, cheaply enough and at sufficient scale to push fossil fuels out of Asia's energy mix.

"The reality is that coal demand will continue to increase," Septian Hario Seto, Indonesia's deputy of investment at its Coordinating Ministry for Maritime and Investment Affairs, told the conference.

Thursday 28 September 2023

NEW OIL FIELD APPROVED BY THE UK GOVERNMENT

The UK government is showing that we will still need oil way into the future by its decision to develop a big new oil field in the North Sea. It is a sensible decision that is driving the climate extremists mad.

 Rosebank: Biggest untapped UK oil field approved by regulators - BBC News

Tuesday 26 September 2023

NET ZERO TORN TO SHREDS

The article liked below is a real tour de force which states the real state of where climate policies are leading us. This section gives a flavour of it:

"The promises of upsides are simply lies. There are no drop-in replacements for the things that make our lifestyles today. That is why the Climate Change Committee told Parliament that up to 62% of emissions reduction is going to come from ‘behaviour change’, which is to say that Net Zero requires government to use the criminal law and price mechanisms to regulate what people can do. That is what Sunak means when he says that previous governments have not been straight with the public." 

The Impossibility of Net Zero (netzerowatch.com)

Monday 25 September 2023

4 TRILLION A YEAR NEEDED FOR UN SUSTAINABILITY GOALS

That is the eye-watering sum that the UK Foreign Secretary said was needed to be raised, much of it to "fight climate change". How much longer can the UK, or for that matter any other indebted Western nation, go on dishing out billions of pounds before the citizens start to notice a drop in their standard of living?

 James Cleverly Needs $4 Trillion a Year For His Sustainable Development Goals! | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

Sunday 24 September 2023

CLIMATE PROPAGANDA GOES TO THE NEXT LEVEL IN OZ

We are witnessing extraordinary levels of behaviour in the battle for hearts and minds in the new religion of climate. In the following link we see how internet propaganda can be used as a weapon 

 Our moral guardians: Climate activists teach children to send cookie malware to skeptical grandparents « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

Friday 22 September 2023

"GATES OF HELL" SPEECH AT THE UN

 Welcome to the new fundamentalist religion headed by the high priest giving a tub-thumping sermon to his followers.

UN climate science now at “Gates of Hell” level « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

Surely they must realise that this kind of language is counter-productive and leads to the bulk of the public looking at them as a laughing stock.

Thursday 21 September 2023

WILL GERMANY BE FIRST TO DITCH NET ZERO

Here again we see a country which has made a grand commitment to reach net zero CO2 emissions come up against the harsh reality of how costly it is, as the date gets nearer. When it comes to a choice of severely damaging the economy causing millions to suffer or to defer the date of achieving an arbitrary and meaningless target there can only be one rational decision.  

Ross Clark: Will Germany be the first to ditch its net zero commitments? | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

Tuesday 19 September 2023

THE SKEPTICS HANDBOOK VOLUME 2 - WHY CO2 DOES NOT CONTROL THE EARTH'S CLIMATE

I have only just come across this second volume of the Skeptics Handbook which is packed with interesting facts that you will never see in any mainstream publication or on TV. Jo Nova has a great way of putting across difficult material in a simple and direct style. The whole thing is well worth reading, but I particularly like this section:

The one flaw that wipes out the crisis

Carbon dioxide only causes 1.1°C of warming if it doubles. That’s according to the IPCC. Did you know? The real game changer is water. Researchers made guesses about humidity and clouds in the early 1980s and they built these guesses into their models. We now know they were wrong, not about carbon, but about water in the form of humidity and clouds. Here’s how the models can be right about carbon and wrong about the climate. CO2 is a greenhouse gas, and it warms the planet. The modellers guessed that as the world warmed, more water would evaporate, and the rising humidity would lock in more heat. Makes sense. Humid nights are warmer than clear nights. This is called “feedback” — carbon warms us, which lifts humidity, which warms us even more, at least in theory. But water is complex and fickle. Humidity can stay ‘humid’, or turn into low clouds, high clouds, or fall out as rain, hail or snow.

  And they all have a different effect. Every prediction over 1.1 degrees relies on “feedback” of some sort. But what if that extra humidity turned into low clouds? What if it just rained out? What if fewer high clouds formed? Any of these would cool the planet. Without the effects of feedbacks to amplify carbon’s minor warming, there is no disaster, and that’s exactly what the observations tell us. Lindzen found that as the planet warms it gives off more radiation. Spencer found that as the planet warms, we get fewer high clouds. Paltridge found that humidity levels have fallen. The missing hot spot shows the models are wrong. There goes almost all of the warming. The models exaggerate by a factor of six. The 3.3°C scare is really only about half a degree of extra warmth. Who needs to transform economies to prevent half a degree of warming, most of which has already happened? Who indeed? 

Sources: Feedbacks: (projected) IPCC Assessment Report 4, Chapter 8. (Measured) Lindzen et al 2009. Clouds: Spencer et al 2007. Humidity, Paltridge et al, 2009.

the_skeptics_handbook_IIj-sml.pdf (joannenova.com.au)

Monday 18 September 2023

BLOG READERSHIP AT RECORD HIGH!

I often wonder who the bulk of you, my readers, are and where you come from. Most of you never leave a comment, though Renewable Guy has made up for some of you! Over the years my readership has varied a lot, but this year it has definitely seen a big increase, which is very encouraging. It is interesting because it is now much harder for people to find it because the big search engines, like Bing and Google do not come up with this blog on their first pages, which they used to. Climate sceptic websites are not given any prominence these days. 

Despite all this, my number of hits for this month is already at 43000 with half the month to go and my previous best month was January this year at 42562, so it is going to be a new record. 

I started the blog back in 2007 when many of the now top blogs had not started, like Paul Homewood's superb NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT . Even Watts Up With That?  was only just starting. I started as a means of keeping a catalogue of informative articles for my own use and to show other people that there actually were a lot of scientific arguments to rebut what was being put out by the likes of Al Gore who's new film was gaining a lot of coverage at the time.

Let me be absolutely clear, I have never disputed that the climate has changed in the past and in some parts of the world it is changing now. Of course it could change any time at any place. What is definitely in dispute is that CO2 is a major driver of the climate. It is beyond doubt that there are many natural factors that have affected the climate. Particularly clouds.

Even if man-made CO2 had a measurable effect, the nations of the world could not possibly reduce the level in time to make a difference to the temperature or the climate. The answer must be to adapt to the climate rather than a futile attempt to change it. 


 

Sunday 17 September 2023

CLIMATE EXTREMIST MESSAGE NOT BELIEVED BY MANY

There have been so many extreme climate change messages in our news media that you would imagine that everyone would be completely convinced. Indeed in the political world in public debates this seems to be largely the case. However this consensus is, in reality, false, as in private I find most people actually think more like the comments of Telegraph readers in the article below. 

 Telegraph Scrape The Bottom With Latest Climate Scare | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)


Saturday 16 September 2023

GREEN JOB LOSSES - THE TRUE COST OF NET ZERO

We are constantly being told about the new green jobs which are going to be created by pushing for net zero, and yet the reality is the complete opposite. What we see is the loss of good well paid jobs in the traditional economy as we increase the price of fuel and electricity. Here is a prime example: 

Labour In A Spin Over Green Steel Job Losses | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

I have heard some extreme green activists state that saving CO2 emissions should come before economic benefit. This is not the view of the majority of the public.

Friday 15 September 2023

IT WAS WARMER IN ROMAN TIMES THAN NOW

Nothing at all about the modern era stands out as unusual

 2,500 years of wild climate change in southern Europe: It was warmer in Roman Times than now « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

Thanks to David Whitehouse at NetZeroWatch who has found a remarkable paper: Pyrenean caves reveal a warmer past

The new study on stalagmites in caves of the Pyrenees shows that modern climate change is nothing compared to natural fluctuations in the last 2,500 years, when it was at times  much hotter, colder, and more volatile. Rapid shifts between temperatures were common.

Yet we are constantly bombarded with propaganda telling us our climate is going off the scale. It is amazing how many people pay lip-service to this idea, similar to a religious ideology. 

Thursday 14 September 2023

WHY SCIENCE JOURNALS CAN NO LONGER BE TRUSTED

 Wesley J Smith: Why we can’t trust the science journals

National Review, 5 September 2023

A climate scientist has written that he pulled his punches in a climate-change article in order to be published by the prestigious journal Nature. From, “I Left Out the Full Truth to Get My Climate Change Paper Published,” by Patrick T. Brown:
 
"The paper I just published—“Climate warming increases extreme daily wildfire growth risk in California”—focuses exclusively on how climate change has affected extreme wildfire behavior. I knew not to try to quantify key aspects other than climate change in my research because it would dilute the story that prestigious journals like Nature and its rival, Science, want to tell.
 
This matters because it is critically important for scientists to be published in high-profile journals; in many ways, they are the gatekeepers for career success in academia. And the editors of these journals have made it abundantly clear, both by what they publish and what they reject, that they want climate papers that support certain preapproved narratives—even when those narratives come at the expense of broader knowledge for society."
 
In other words, if Brown provided a thorough and nuanced study, it would never have passed the ideological blockade he knew controls the scientific discourse on this important topic.
 
Brown explains why we see such an anti-science paradigm:

"In theory, scientific research should prize curiosity, dispassionate objectivity, and a commitment to uncovering the truth. Surely those are the qualities that editors of scientific journals should value.

In reality, though, the biases of the editors (and the reviewers they call upon to evaluate submissions) exert a major influence on the collective output of entire fields. They select what gets published from a large pool of entries, and in doing so, they also shape how research is conducted more broadly. Savvy researchers tailor their studies to maximize the likelihood that their work is accepted. I know this because I am one of them."

Brown left academia so he could engage in better science. And, that allowed him to write this article. [...]

Brown has done a true service in illustrating how science has been distorted by nonscientific agendas at the highest level of “expert” discourse — aided and abetted by the media. Until and unless that changes, public trust in the scientific and medical sectors will continue to fall. 
 
Full post


Wednesday 13 September 2023

ONLY 16% OF UK VOTERS WANT TO PRIORITISE NET ZERO

 Matt Goodwin: The Sun, 8 September 2023 

If Rishi Sunak is to have any chance of winning the next General Election, then he should be doing a lot more to tap into people’s growing sense of exasperation with the spiralling costs of Net Zero.

That’s the message from my latest ­polling on what ordinary people who took a punt on Boris Johnson in 2019 really think about the expansion of green policies such as the Ultra-Low Emission Zone in London, where the owners of non-compliant vehicles must pay £12.50 each time they drive.

Were you to listen only to the expert class, to London Mayor Sadiq Khan or the new elite who dominate the institutions, then you might be forgiven for thinking that these kinds of policies are incredibly popular among the public. But the reality, as my polling shows, is quite different.

Much like globalisation in the 1990s, or the rise of mass immigration in the 2000s and the 2010s, many people today are becoming sceptical, if not outright opposed, to the spiralling costs of this agenda.

Only one in four say they would like to see a Ulez-type scheme operating in their own local area. The vast majority would not.

But it’s the coalition of voters from across the political spectrum who backed Boris Johnson and the Conservative Party in 2019 — many of whom are the same people who backed Brexit — who are especially opposed to footing the bills for things such as Ulez and the creeping influence of Net Zero.

These voters, remember, are absolutely critical for Sunak’s chances next year.  Sunak is currently only holding on to half of Johnson’s 2019 voters.

Ask people whether they want their leaders in Westminster to prioritise Net Zero even if this increases people’s bills or prioritise lowering their bills even if this undermines the quest to achieve Net Zero and the vast majority strongly favour the latter.

Only 16 per cent want to prioritise Net Zero.

Ask Conservative voters from 2019 — the very people who will determine whether or not Sunak remains in power — and just seven per cent want their leaders to prioritise Net Zero while nearly three-quarters (72 per cent) want them to prioritise slashing the cost of living.

Full post


Tuesday 12 September 2023

TEXAS ON THE BRINK OF ROLLING BLACKOUTS

 Texas declared its first power emergency since a deadly winter storm two years ago and came close to rolling blackouts as soaring temperatures roasted the second-largest US state.

High demand, lower wind generation, and the declining solar generation during sunset led to lower operating reserves on the grid and eventually contributed to lower frequency,” the grid operator’s CEO said.

The declaration of a so-called Level 2 emergency late Wednesday came in response to shrinking supplies of available power and meant the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the state’s grid operator, had to draw on reserves while pushing consumers to curb usage.

Texas hadn’t experienced a grid emergency since February 2021, when a historic freeze triggered blackouts that led to hundreds of deaths, stranded millions inside freezing homes, and paralyzed the Lone Star State for almost a week.

Conditions deteriorated so quickly on Wednesday that the grid operator skipped calling emergency level 1. A level 2 emergency means power reserves have dropped to critical levels and allows the operator to call on more supplies to prop up the grid. It’s unclear what led to ERCOT call a second-tier emergency.

As the crisis deepened late Wednesday, utilities in San Antonio and the state capital Austin warned blackouts might be imminent and urged customers to take conservation efforts such as not charging electric cars and turning off pool filters. Medically fragile residents who need oxygen and similar aids were urged to have backup plans in place.

Spot power prices surged to more than the $5,000 a megawatt-hour, exceeding the price cap, multiple times Wednesday evening, Ercot data show. That was quadruple the cost of power supplies for that period in the day-ahead market.

Full story

Monday 11 September 2023

IS IT THE END OF MASS MOTORING?

 Over the last few years, the Government has thrown everything it can think of at forcing us to switch to electric vehicles. There are big subsidies on offer, both for the car itself and for a home charging port. There are tax breaks for company vehicles, long since phased out for the petrol equivalent. There are exemptions from resident’s parking permits, and from the increasingly bewildering array of congestion and clean air charges that now mean driving from one British city to another involves almost as much paperwork as getting a visa for North Korea.


And from next year onwards, the auto manufacturers will have to meet a target of selling 22pc electric vehicles, rising to 52pc by 2028, ahead of a complete ban on the sale of new petrol cars by 2030.

There is a problem, however. Despite all the incentives, most of us are not yet convinced about making the switch. According to a survey this week by Auto Trader, only 47pc of drivers believe that an electric vehicle will work for them, while 56pc of drivers felt that they were too expensive to buy. In fact, there are a whole range of reasons why people don’t want them. They are expensive, with average prices above traditional models. The charging network is hopelessly inadequate, especially if, like most people, you don’t have your own driveway. There are doubts over how long the batteries last, minor collisions can cost thousands to repair if the power unit is damaged, and there is even a risk of them catching fire in enclosed space.

And yet, at the same time petrol cars are becoming increasingly unaffordable. There already was a trend for new cars to get more and more expensive: from 2011 to 2021 the average price of a new car in the UK rose by 39pc, compared to a 22pc rise in average wages, according to research by Moneybarn. But as quotas are introduced, that will only accelerate, since the only way the manufacturers can meet the target, at the same time as protecting profit margins, will be to make fossil-fuel driven models pricier and pricier. Add in the soaring cost of insurance, and the vast range of Ulez-style charges, and one point is clear. A petrol car will be a high-end luxury product, restricted to a tiny minority.

The result? Car ownership will soon be following home ownership into dramatic decline, driven off the road by central planning, and short-sighted, chaotic government policies. Instead, people will be forced onto shambolic public transport that might just about work in inner London, and within a few other major cities, but is practically non-existent in the suburbs, small towns or villages. In reality, the end of the car era will be the greatest backward step in living standards in recent memory. In terms of mobility and freedom it will take us right back to the 19th century - and it will be entirely our own fault.

 

Sunday 10 September 2023

CHILLING DETAILS OF THE UK ENERGY BILL

Most of the public seem blissfully unaware of how their government is taking away their freedom in the pursuit of net zero. A few of them may be better informed now, as a result of this article:

 RICHARD LITTLEJOHN: No heat pump? Put your thermals on, you're nicked | Daily Mail Online


Saturday 9 September 2023

ZERO BIDS FOR OFFSHORE WIND

Not net zero - just zero! This should be a wake up call for the government and for the people of the UK. Clearly offshore wind is simply much too expensive. 

Offshore wind auction fails to attract any bids - BBC News

Friday 8 September 2023

DATA TO MAKE YOU THINK HOW MUCH THE WORLD HAS IMPROVED.

 

We seem to hear nothing but doom and gloom in our daily news. The following is an interesting article taken from a website which answers questions on every topic and is well worth looking at for a wide range of information. The following article by Patrick Boschmann can be found at this link:

(37) Extreme weather is not increasing, and the world is getting healthier and wealthier and safer all the time. Is the whole Global warming/Climate change narrative simply a world-wide experiment in mass hypnosis? - Quora

The world wasn’t broken and it didn’t need fixing. The world was getting healthier and wealthier before the Climate Change© agenda came along and put a stop to all of that.

FATHER OF CLIMATE CHANGE

Wednesday 6 September 2023

UK GOVERNMENT MUST STAND UP TO CLIMATE ACTIVISTS

Here in the UK we are reaching the point when the government has to make some very difficult and unpopular decisions. Even though the Conservatives had an 80 seat majority there are enough Conservative climate activist MPs to defeat them with the support of the opposition. One such decision is the ban on onshore wind farms. Faced with defeat, the government is now doing a u-turn to end the ban and pass the buck onto council planners.

 Government divided on climate issues (netzerowatch.com)

Tuesday 5 September 2023

WILL NORTHERN EUROPE FREEZE OR FRY? - GULF STREAM IS NOT THE AMOC*

*AMOC = Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

A lot of climate alarmists confuse the AMOC with the Gulf Stream. They are both currents which circulate through the Atlantic Ocean, but they are distinct separate currents, as explained in this link:

 The Guardian's (ocean) circulation problem - Net Zero Watch

Luckily the Gulf Stream is the one which is the least likely to be affected. But that doesn't stop fear-mongering articles peddling the idea that climate change will mean that northern Europe will be driven into an ice-age by global warming. Either we will freeze or fry, it's a win-win for the alarmists!  

Monday 4 September 2023

COST OF DECARBONISING HOUSING

Anyone who gives a little thought to what is involved must realise that our 38 million houses rely on a lot of fossil fuels to power all our appliances and cook our food and keep us warm. The figures are so huge that doing the calculations is not to be taken lightly. Fortunately the Global Warming Policy Foundation has done the sums and come up with the answer £1.8 trillion extra to the cost of staying with the present system. Read the details here: 

Cost of Decarbonising Housing (netzerowatch.com)

Sunday 3 September 2023

HEAT PUMP SAGA GOES ON

 I don't envy the new minister for net zero, appointed yesterday. The fact is that most people are, understandably, reluctant to spend at least £10000 to change their central heating system from a relatively cheap gas boiler system to a less powerful and more costly heat pump. Even those who can afford it are not buying. Of course the majority cannot afford it. It is hardly sensible to put in a heat pump system unless you have good insulation as they will not give enough heat. Read all the details below.  


Heat pumps: mythology and actuality - The Global Warming Policy Foundation (thegwpf.org)

Net Zero Watch slams Government’s 'desperate' and 'unethical' heat pump proposals - Net Zero Watch


Saturday 2 September 2023

UK FOOD STRATEGY - A POINTLESS ACT OF SELF HARM

The following report is a very comprehensive and interesting read.

UK Food Strategy and Net Zero (thegwpf.org)

Here are one or two highlights:

In 2019, the total CO2 emissions from the UK (i.e. production, not consumption figures) amounted to 369 million tonnes. In 2020, emissions dropped to 329 million tonnes. These figures ignore land use. In 2020, this represented just 0.95% of global emissions, down from 2.64% in 1990 (world CO2 emissions totalled 36.7 billion tonnes in 2019). Consumption-based emissions for the UK in 2019 (the most recent year for which data is available) were 520 million tonnes, bringing the country’s contribution to 1.4% of global emissions. Achieving Net Zero for the UK would be effectively a rounding error in global emissions, which continue to increase. China, far and away the world’s largest CO2 emitter for over a decade, will not compromise its economic growth in the cause of climate change mitigation.

Look at what the UK has achieved in recent decades. Total emissions have fallen very significantly, now standing at about the same level as in late Victorian times. This is for a country of 67 million, compared to about 31 million in 1870.  

To re-engineer the UK’s agricultural sector and food supply chain will inevitably have a massive impact on farmers, the countryside and diets, whether or not people conform to policymakers’ expectations and move to plant-based diets or whether they simply eat more imported meat and dairy produce. Decreeing the effective end of much livestock farming would be devastating. Doing this for the sake of 10% of the country’s overall emissions of greenhouse gases would be pure folly.

Friday 1 September 2023

WORLD'S "HOTTEST DAY" WAS FAKE NEWS

 Apparently, all those people missed the fact that they were looking at the output of a climate model, not actually measured temperatures. Only one news outlet, The Associated Press, bothered to print a sensible caveat…The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration distanced itself from the designation, compiled by the University of Maine’s Climate Reanalyzer, which uses satellite data and computer simulations to measure the world’s condition….

The AP updated its story on July 7th to include this single yet very important paragraph: “NOAA, whose figures are considered the gold standard in climate data, said in a statement Thursday that it cannot validate the unofficial numbers. It noted that the reanalyzer uses model output data, which it called ‘not suitable’ as substitutes for actual temperatures and climate records. The agency monitors global temperatures and records on a monthly and an annual basis, not daily.”

So, in the space of two days, we went from temperature data that was “totally unprecedented and terrifying,” to temperature data that was not suitable for purpose.

‘Supposed’ Record Temperature In China Not All It Seems– Paul Homewood: “There is a highly coordinated effort taking place to persuade the public that the world’s climate is somehow out of control, with extreme weather everywhere and heatwaves on every continent.” … “Quite clearly, any record temperature set in the Turpan is meaningless and cannot be compared to other locations in China. It is merely the product of a micro climate. There is also a second issue here. Sanbao has no official listing or any historical data…In short we have no way of knowing whether it has been hotter in Saobao in the past, or whether the thermometer there is even properly sited and maintained.”

Read the whole article here:

Top Climate Scientists Rubbish Claims July was the Hottest Month ever – Public being ‘Misinformed on a Massive Scale’ • Watts Up With That?