FLAWED FORECASTS

So the Met Office has at last decided to "revise" its long range forecast for this summer. They have decided it is not going to be a "barbecue summer" after all. A bit late perhaps, but to be fair they only said there was a 65% chance that their forecast would be correct. In fact they have incorrectly forecast similar weather for the past three years. This article in the Guardian explains that "the accuracy of a forecast is diminished by the inherent chaos of weather systems. As forecasters look further and further ahead, the chaotic behaviour of the atmosphere makes predictions less and less reliable". It then curiously goes on to say "they help businesses affected by the weather to plan ahead", which begs two questions; first how can they be of any use when they are so likely to be wrong, and secondly if the Met Office can't forecast six months ahead why do they believe they can make forecasts for the coming century, and why should anyone have confidence in them?

Continuing from the last point, why should governments add thousands of pounds to peoples cost of living to combat "dangerous climate change" based on such flawed forecasts?

WHAT ARE ALARMISTS PREDICTING FOR CLIMATE?

Here is one prediction in a recent New York Times article from a NASA scientist forecasting a possible Dalton Minimum. Yet, at the same time, I read this item in the Telegraph predicting record high temperatures in the next few years, again allegedly coming from NASA. I know that these predictions are extremely difficult so why won't the media admit that it really amounts to no more than educated guess work, instead of pretending that scientists really understand all the complex interactions that make up our climate.

IS THE TIDE TURNING ON GW?

This report shows how some influential politicians are now having serious doubts bout the science. This has to be welcome news for those who would be asked to pay for grandiose schemes, but there is still a lot of tide to turn as readers will be aware.

LOOK AT WHAT PROPAGANDA CAN DO

Some people have been taken in so completely by the continuous stream of propaganda coming from the media that they are now preparing to starve themselves in a pathetic attempt to save the planet. While I am sympathetic to the plight of these poor demented souls, they must be told that their efforts are futile and no one will pay them any attention should they persist. No doubt the Health Service will pick up the pieces at taxpayers expense after this self-inflicted effort to ruin their health.

"MAN'S HEAT CAUSING GW" - NEW PAPER

Here is an interesting piece which explains that much of the world's extra heat comes not from heat-trapping CO2, but from the heat produced by man. This is a novel idea, but the paper has been peer reviewed, so it deserves to be taken seriously. However it should also be pointed out that these calculations do not take into account mechanisms which lose heat from the earth such as the role of clouds.

AL GORE'S HOME HIT BY GLOBAL COOLING

Christopher Booker's column in this week's Telegraph highlights the increasing disconnect between the rhetoric coming from the likes of Al Gore and the reality of the current weather. It's as if the weather is playing a joke on the Alarmists.

US WEATHER SETS JUNE RECORDS FOR COLD

This article gives the details of unseasonal weather all over the USA. While this does not indicate any trend, it does indicate that the fears of "dangerous warming" are, at least exaggerated. Our climate is variable and therefore we should not jump to conclusions based on extreme weather - either hot or cold. Alarmists on the other hand are only too ready to attribute any extreme event on "climate change" instead of admitting that it is simply part of the nermal pattern of our weather.

LIONS LED BY DONKEYS?

How about this for an idea to ruin your country? This US politician wants his people to pay the cost of Chinese emissions of CO2 as well as their own. With people like that negotiating for you, you know your stuffed!

GOVERNMENT CO2 POLICY DESTROYS JOBS

The latest UK government policy to "save the planet" is a recipe for economic and employmetn disaster says Dominic Lawson, son of Nigel the former UK Chancellor. His article is well worth reading. A pity the government are not taking more notice, or the Opposition leadership come to that.

UNEMPLOYMENT AS ALUMINIUM PLANT FACES DEARER ELECTRICITY

This article explains the consequences of dearer electricity as jobs are lost, with more to come. High unemployment beckons due to the recession, but this will be compounded by increased energy prices aided by the dash for costly wind farms.

RENEWABLES - HOW YOU PAY FOR THEM

This organisation is involved.
Here are the details of how the subsidies stack up in the complex world of renewables. If you can't follow it all then don't worry, you aren't meant to. Just pay up and ask no questions.

ECO TOWNS' PARKING COSTS - £13K A YEAR

This report in the Telegraph give the details for the UK's proposed new "eco towns". Apparently for this sum you don't even get to park anywhere near your home! The cost of going green just keeps on growing, but will there be many takers?

HOW WE ARE SUBJECTED TO BRAIN-WASHING PROPAGANDA

This article looks at the way in which our minds can be manipulated by modern media. While not everyone is overcome but nevertheless many are affected.

THE RISE OF THE CARBON OLIGARCHS

This article forecasts the result of implementing a carbon trading scheme with all its state control and bureaucracy will be like the privatization schemes under the communists - massive fortunes for a few at the expense of the rest of us. Rather like communism itself, state control is not an instrument of fairness.

HAVE YOU HEARD OF THE HPI?

No, I thought not, but the HPI (Happy Planet Index) is getting some attention from those who govern us. It is typical of what passes for science these days; a lot of guesswork fed into a computer with the results treated as if they were something important. Judge for yourself if you have the time by clicking on this link. Apparently Burma comes out much higher up than the UK or USA, so make of that what you will!

Then there's the SDC (Sustainable Development Commission). These people are advisors to the UK government. If you have time to go through a 136 page report there is a wealth of arguments against the present capitalist society with its imperative for growth. Let's be honest, the present system is not perfect and listing its defects is easy to do, but when it comes to practical alternatives they seem to be relying on massive state intervention and controls to create an "equal society" in which many things are rationed. Running right through it is the assumption that carbon must be severely reduced and rationed.

Some might think that these organisations are looking at what used to be called "communism" and dressing it up in a new wrapper.

GORE TAKES HIS MESSAGE TO OZ

After his recent appearance in the UK, Al gore jetted off to Australia to repeat his mantra - see this story for details. As you can see he got a cool reception from the Climate Sceptic Party of Australia.

LGA GW PROPAGANDA CONTINUES

The UK's Local Government Association, in its latest magazine for all councillors, has returned to its favourite topic - global warming (or climate change as they prefer to call it). Not content to print multiple articles in the magazine they have even sent us all an additional magazine, filled with exhortations to "tackle climate change". Any change it seems can be tackled - even showing a picture of winter snow to make the point.

ANOTHER POLL

Go to this link and cast your vote.

MODERN KING CANUTES

The leaders of the G8 developed nations played their own version of the famous monarch by declaring that they would "keep the world's temperature to no more than a 2 degree rise in temperature". This article in the WSJ gives the details of the latest summit where they pretend to solve the world's problems.

IMPORTANT POLL - VOTE NOW

Australia could have a very important influence on the political response to global warming. Today there is an on-line poll in a national newspaper in Oz where Al Gore is currently carrying out a number of engagements.

The poll can be reached via this link which goes to the article. There is no doubt that politicians are becoming very aware of public opinion and so polls are a very important way of geeting a message to them. - so get voting!!

UK FAMILIES PAYING FOR CO2 REDUCTION

This report in the Mail gives a preview of the government's latest measures to combat global warming (which has stopped ten years ago). Yet more pain for hard-pressed UK families in return for more wind turbines.

DEJA VU - ALL OVER AGAIN?

This report from the Times is from 2007, but apart from a few hot days at the end of June, this year seems remarkably similar, and the reason is the low position of the jet stream. I'm not pretending I can forecast the weather (I'll leave that to the Met Office), but it does seem to be a long way from the "hot dry summers" that are supposed to become the norm due to GW.

STATISTICS - HOW THEY CAN DECEIVE

Here is a very interesting article by a statistician which explains just how easy it is for statistics to be used to present results in a misleading way. Well worth a read.

BBC ARE BIASED OVER GW - PETER SISSONS

This Mail on Sunday article by Peter Sissons, a former senior BBC news presenter reveals how they are expected to give an easy ride to those propagating the man made climate change theory.

Of course this has been obvious for some time, but it is important to see it confirmed by someone who was at the heart of the organisation.

AL GORE INVOKES CHURCHILL

At the pretentiously named "World Forum on Enterprise and the Environment" in Oxford, Al Gore made a tub thumping appeal for world leaders to unite as they did against the nazis - see this article in the Mail. There was disappointement that not enough people attended to hear this one-sided bore, but why should people want to pay money to hear something they had heard a thousand times before?

Surely the whole point of a conference is to hear from all those who have a contribution to make.

UK TO HOLD CLIMATE WEEK

There is to be a climate conference here in the UK from Monday 26 October to Friday 30 October. It is to be held at the University of York by The Freedom Association (TFA) and is set to discuss all aspects of the climate debate and scrutinise the government's policies. Opportunities will be given to speakers from both sides to make their case. More details can be found on this official site.

OCEAN HEAT SUMS DON'T ADD UP TO CO2 THEORY

This report gives details of heat calculations which show that the heat taken in by the world's oceans is nowhere near enough to support the theory of global warming of the IPCC. Yet another piece of evidence that doesn't add up.

OCEAN TEMPERATURES - THE NEW LITMUS TEST

This article explains what is going on here. It seems that, despite attempts to fiddle the figure, the oceans are showing no signs of continuing to warm either.

ONE GREEN JOB FOR EVERY 2.2 LOST

Here is a very important post from the EU Referendum Blog. It highlights the experience in Spain from a recent report into so-called "green jobs" which President Obama is claiming will make up for the lost jobs from traditional industries which will be closed as a result of his CO2 emission reduction policies. The post makes grim reading for those who will be looking for work.

ROYAL SOCIETY, - WE NEED MUCH DEARER ENERGY

Not the most popular slogan, but this report shows the thinking in the latest report. I doubt if any political party will run on such a slogan, but will they repudiate it?

US CLIMATE BILL TO RAISE PRICES AND ENCOURAGE IMPORTS

This article explains how the bill will, in effect, tax home-refined fuel twice while imported fuel only once. This will destroy home jobs and drive up prices. Yet more unintended consequences of the hopeless quest to control climate.

BROWN IN BID TO "SAVE THE PLANET"

Yes, that's right, Gordon Brown is again poised to save us according to this article in the Telegraph. He plans to persuade the West to set up a fund of £100 billion of our hard-earned taxes and give it to the developing world. I hope you are feeling suitably grateful!

RUSSIA SETS SOFT CLIMATE GOALS

Russia has set soft CO2 reduction targets as this report explains. No wonder they pretend to support the new climate religion, when they can get off so lightly.

SCOTLAND TO CUT CO2 EMISSIONS BY 42% BY 2020

Yes, brave little Scotland has agreed, unilaterally, to double the target of the UK government in a bold, though futile, attempt to "save the planet". No doubt the Scottish people will be suitably grateful when the jobs disappear and the lights go out. You can read the details here.

MORE PROPAGANDA TO STOP NEW COAL POWER STATION

The World Development Movement (WDM - yet another well funded NGO which hardly anyone has heard of!) is holding a demonstration today at the Kingsnorth power station to protest against the proposal to build a new coal-fired power station on the site. You can read the claims they are making here. They are based on nothing more than guesswork using data which is itself completely unreliable, but the figures are obviously designed to sound scary. It is pure propaganda but where is the rebuttal? Unless these kind of things are rebutted then they will be believed by the gullible and uninformed. I bet there are no demonstrations in favour of building a new plant, yet without new plants the electricity supply will become unreliable and the lights will go out. Only then will the public wake up - when the damage has been done and it's too late.

AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT EXPERTS QUESTIONED OVER GW

This detailed report from the website of Australian Senator, Steve Fielding, gives a real insight into the thinking of governments on this vital issue. Read for yourself the very straightforward questions that Senator Fielding and his team of experts put to the Australian Climate Change Minister, Penny Wong, and her scientific advisers. I doubt that any other government minister would have given any very different answers. Once again this exchange highlights the very sketchy evidence of CO2 causing serious warming on which governments are prepared to push such costly measures on their peoples.

MORE ON THE MYSTIC MET OFFICE PREDICTIONS

Further to my earlier article on this,This article gives another account of the recent UK detailed climate predictions for the coming century. There is another take on it here. I think theses predictions will prove a step too far for the public to accept, as they are even more catastrophic than those from the IPCC. The difference between forecast and reality is becoming more apparent as each new forecast of apocalypse comes out.

US THREATENS TRADE WAR OVER EMISSIONS

This article explains the implications of imposing CO2 emissions policies. The result is a lose-lose situation. High prices and taxes at home and a trade war with nations abroad. For further common sense on this issue read this account.

WORST HOTEL - GOOD FOR THE ENVIRONMENT

Here is an amusing article with a short video advert which portrays the lack of amenities as being positive for the environment. Amazingly the hotel is successful - presumably because it is very cheap! Or maybe it is full of eco-warriors.