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Saturday, 8 January 2022
MORE EXTREME WEATHER FUELLED BY CLIMATE CHANGE - NONSENSE!
Of course there are heatwaves and working outside has always been uncomfortable in the sun. An extra one or two degrees would not even be noticed. The point of the article is that there is no evidence of increasing extreme weather events either in quantity or severity.
But you have missed the point of the article which was that the current 1 degree has not made any noticeable change to the severity or quantity of extreme weather events - contrary to what we are constantly being told in the media. The data does NOT support the alarmist narrative. One or two degrees is not dangerous. It is something we will have to live with and we are easily able to adapt to it. Do you think that Obama would have bought a beachfront home if he believed it was in imminent danger? The whole thing is massive exaggeration.
The impacts of climate change at 1.5C, 2C and beyond Carbon Brief has extracted data from around 70 peer-reviewed climate studies to show how global warming is projected to affect the world and its regions.
Scroll down to see how these impacts vary at different temperature levels, across a range of key metrics. Click on the icons below to skip to specific categories and regions.
This is from 70 different peer reviewed papers on climate. I disagree with you on a small temperature change isnt harmful. It is a dangerous change we are already experiencing. The .5*C change from 1.5*C to 2.0*C has very large differences worth noting. It would be wise to get ready for this change and to exit fossil fuel burning sooner rather than later.
These papers you refer to are not factual, they are made by computer programmes. In other words they are simply estimates based on the data that is input into the programme and cannot be relied on, judging by past experience. You should look at the real data over a long time period to see the actual picture of what is happening. There is good evidence that the Earth's temperature was warmer than now in the Medieval Warm Period and yet the climate did not go out of control then. So why should we expect it to do so now?
These papers you refer to are not factual, they are made by computer programmes.
How the world average will behave in the future from a ghg point of view is very easy to estimate. It is a hollow statement to make that we can't see what's coming down the road. Predicting warming from ghgs is actually easier to do than the weather. The natural cycles of the earth are cyclical revolving around a center temperature point. The trend created by GHGs are taking those cyclical cycles and making them warmer. This is bearing out in the temperature data.
There is good evidence that the Earth's temperature was warmer than now in the Medieval Warm Period and yet the climate did not go out of control then. So why should we expect it to do so now?
We are in a different time than the Medieval period. We are warming from GHGs. We will not go into runaway warming, of that I am happy for. But we will warm. Taking risks of staying of fossil fuels is a fools game that we will not win at. Ignoring the large body of evidence by the world's climate scientists doesn't assure you of a normal future. It assures us of destruction of the life we know today. Higher temperatures of the future will be a rough ride for future generations of which we are just starting to experience today.
https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/impacts-climate-change-one-point-five-degrees-two-degrees/
ReplyDeleteDifference is exposure to temperature between 1.5*C and 2.0*C. There are several areas categorized out.
Frequency of warm extremes over land, which is where we live.
1.5*C up 129%
Jumping up to
2.0*C up 343%
You can't pay me to work outside during warm extremes.
Of course there are heatwaves and working outside has always been uncomfortable in the sun. An extra one or two degrees would not even be noticed. The point of the article is that there is no evidence of increasing extreme weather events either in quantity or severity.
ReplyDelete[An extra one or two degrees would not even be noticed.]
ReplyDeleteOne degree is noticed now. 2 degrees is even more so. Ignoring this dangerous condition is at our peril.
But you have missed the point of the article which was that the current 1 degree has not made any noticeable change to the severity or quantity of extreme weather events - contrary to what we are constantly being told in the media. The data does NOT support the alarmist narrative. One or two degrees is not dangerous. It is something we will have to live with and we are easily able to adapt to it. Do you think that Obama would have bought a beachfront home if he believed it was in imminent danger? The whole thing is massive exaggeration.
ReplyDeletehttps://interactive.carbonbrief.org/impacts-climate-change-one-point-five-degrees-two-degrees/
ReplyDeleteThe impacts of climate change at 1.5C, 2C and beyond
Carbon Brief has extracted data from around 70 peer-reviewed climate studies to show how global warming is projected to affect the world and its regions.
Scroll down to see how these impacts vary at different temperature levels, across a range of key metrics. Click on the icons below to skip to specific categories and regions.
This is from 70 different peer reviewed papers on climate. I disagree with you on a small temperature change isnt harmful. It is a dangerous change we are already experiencing. The .5*C change from 1.5*C to 2.0*C has very large differences worth noting. It would be wise to get ready for this change and to exit fossil fuel burning sooner rather than later.
These papers you refer to are not factual, they are made by computer programmes. In other words they are simply estimates based on the data that is input into the programme and cannot be relied on, judging by past experience. You should look at the real data over a long time period to see the actual picture of what is happening. There is good evidence that the Earth's temperature was warmer than now in the Medieval Warm Period and yet the climate did not go out of control then. So why should we expect it to do so now?
ReplyDeleteThese papers you refer to are not factual, they are made by computer programmes.
ReplyDeleteHow the world average will behave in the future from a ghg point of view is very easy to estimate. It is a hollow statement to make that we can't see what's coming down the road. Predicting warming from ghgs is actually easier to do than the weather. The natural cycles of the earth are cyclical revolving around a center temperature point. The trend created by GHGs are taking those cyclical cycles and making them warmer. This is bearing out in the temperature data.
There is good evidence that the Earth's temperature was warmer than now in the Medieval Warm Period and yet the climate did not go out of control then. So why should we expect it to do so now?
We are in a different time than the Medieval period. We are warming from GHGs. We will not go into runaway warming, of that I am happy for. But we will warm. Taking risks of staying of fossil fuels is a fools game that we will not win at. Ignoring the large body of evidence by the world's climate scientists doesn't assure you of a normal future. It assures us of destruction of the life we know today. Higher temperatures of the future will be a rough ride for future generations of which we are just starting to experience today.
ReplyDeleteI urge all readers to read the linked article with an open mind. There are many other factors affecting global temperature apart from CO2 levels.
https://skepticalscience.Com/a-comprehensive-review-of-the-causes-of-global-warming.html
ReplyDeletethere are 5 main influences on the climate listed below.
green house gases
the sun
human aerosol emissions
volcanic activity
El Nino southern oscillation
Only one of the influences above is really adding warmth to our climate.
By satellite data, the sun is not adding to our climate warming, it has been flat or slightly decreasing.
Aerosols have a cooling effect. In spite of human aerosols co2 is warming the planet.
Volcanic activity mostly has a cooling effect and the co2 from these are minor compared to human emmitted co2.
El Nino, La Nina effects are cyclical, they basically cancel each other out from their effects on the climate.
What you have left is human emissions of green house gases. There is more to warming than just co2.
There is more to warming than just co2.
ReplyDeleteCorrection of statement above, is , there are more GHGs than co2