MET OFFICE TEMPERATURES SHOULD HAVE +/- 2.5 ERROR BARS ADDED

No proper scientific paper would be published without clearly showing the error bars for its measurements, and yet the Met Office claims to have measured record temperatures only 0.1 degrees above the previous record using data which has inaccuracies of +/- 2.5 degrees. This report has the details:

 Met Office Should Put 2.5°C ‘Uncertainties’ Warning on All Future Temperature Claims – The Daily Sceptic

ELECTRICITY PRICE - EXCHANGE IN THE HOUSE OF LORDS

Just occasionally there is a glimmer of sense in the fantasy world of climate change and someone goes off script as it were. The exchange of words, below is from a debate on UK electricity prices in the House of Lords.  Lord Frost begins by asking the following question:

this specific contribution

To ask His Majesty’s Government what assessment they have made of the overall cost-competitiveness of electricity generated from recently commissioned offshore wind farms compared to electricity generated from recently commissioned gas-fired power stations at current gas prices.

The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State, Department for Energy Security and Net Zero 

(Lord Callanan) (Con)

Sharethis specific contribution

My Lords, offshore wind is one of the cheapest generating technologies in the UK and is comparable to or cheaper in cost than fossil-fuel based alternatives. It is a vital technology that will allow us to decarbonise the power sector by 2035 and enhance the UK’s energy independence. The department publishes its cost estimates in the generation costs report.

Lord Frost 

(Con)

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My Lords, I thank the Minister for that response, but I gently suggest that perhaps he needs to look more carefully at the plausibility of the assessment he has just given. If renewables were as cheap as he asserts, it is hard to understand why bill payers and taxpayers are having to pay about £12 billion per year in subsidy, which is £600 for every family in the country. If offshore wind can be produced for £50 per megawatt hour, as his department asserts, it is hard to understand why the Government have had to offer twice that this year to get anyone to take up a contract. Would the Minister agree thatToggle showing location of

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it is better to be honest and that pushing out these fantasy figures just makes it easier for the proponents of net zero and the party opposite to indulge in fantasy politics that the whole energy sector can be decarbonised in just six years?

The Minister gave no direct response to the question and so resorted to ignoring it and just repeating his mantra like a Dalek.

You can read the whole debate at this link:

Electricity: Cost-competitiveness - Hansard - UK Parliament

PARTS OF CHINA 7 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY FOR OVER 2 THOUSAND YEARS

 New Study: China’s Loess Plateau 7-8°C Warmer Than Today For Much Of The Last 4000 Years (notrickszone.com)

 For the period extending from 2700 years ago to the last few centuries the mean annual temperatures were 17.02°C. This is 7.16°C warmer than present. The mean annual precipitation was 903 mm for this Late Holocene period, which is about 70% higher than today’s.

So warmer and wetter is nothing new and also they claim it was  “the best,” most “favorable,” and “optimal” climate period when compared to the drier and colder climates of recent centuries.

MET OFFICE CAUGHT OUT MAKING UP DATA

This is an amazing story that surely must make the mainstream media. It strikes me that this is the equivalent of the Post Office scandal with data being to all intents and purposes made up. The main story is here:

 Met Office Creates Warming Out Of Thin Air | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

I would encourage everyone to read the comments, as some correspondents are researching further into the location, suitability, and even the existence of some of the weather stations! In particular this one from Ray Sanders:

Ray Sanders PERMALINK

May 26, 2024 4:40 pm

“Only 24 of the 380 stations used by the Met Office to calculate UK temperatures are fit for purpose,”

Well actually it is now only 23 not 24. As Paul will know ( I shared the email response from the Met Office with him) Hastings station was shown as Class 1 but I challenged that assessment and have now had it confirmed it is now registered as only Class 4!

I am currently challenging Cassley station (also shown as class 1) and have been able to confirm that the entirety of Cassley (Loch Shin) Hydro electric power station, access roads/hard standing and air cooling for the generators lie within the critical measurement zone – class 3 or even 4 is more appropriate. I also intend to challenge several others in the near future.

Now here is a separate issue that I have discovered in extensive research into dubious Met Office activities. In my home county of Kent there are currently 7 Met Office weather stations. How does that compare with years gone by? Well in 1970 (when scares of an impending ice age were the latest religion) there were …..31 simultaneously operating Met Office stations in Kent.

So why the huge reduction most of which occurred in the 70s/80s? (N.b. This level of reduction occurred nationally)

Well back then most were “manual” stations that required operators to take readings at regular intervals on site. To “improve” forecasting and data quality (ho ho ho) these were automated obviating operator visits. To achieve this the Met Office had to change the thermometers to Platinum resistance units from traditional chemical ones AND provide power and telecoms to the sites. Back then telecomms effectively meant a land line connection.

{Discussion on change to PRT’s on another day.}

As a direct result nearly all the RURAL sites were closed down as no power or telecomms was readily available. I have identified 25 closed sites since 1970 of which 18 were in rural locations. As some examples the coldest temperature ever recorded in Kent ( -21.3°C) was recorded at rural Elmstone (very close to the middle of nowhere) but this site was closed in 1994, the second coldest was at Anvil Green (I know where it is but very few would ever find it) and this was closed in 1992. Even the hottest UK January record site at rural Eynsford was closed in 2008.

So not only are many existing Met Office sites becoming increasingly affected by UHI, they have removed a huge percentage of premium quality rural sites not so affected. Phoenix44 could probably ascertain the statistical distortions this change would have better than I can.

Now hold this thought, of the 18 closed rural sites I have identified I would suggest all were Class 1. Of the remaining 7 current sites only 3 are Class 1 and 2 of those I will challenge soon as being poor sites.

But just to put the icing on the cake I have also identified that a quarter of all sites appearing on this Met Office “Climate Averages” page DO NOT EXIST at all!!! Despite the fact that latitude/longitude co-ordinates and altitude are quoted a quarter are complete FICTION and do not have a recording station within many miles. As just one example Dungeness (shown) is over 25 radial miles from the nearest recording site.

The Met Office have confirmed this and are now rapidly trying to bluff their way of it

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-climate-averages

More on this to follow soon.

REPLY

• 
  Ray Sanders PERMALINK

  May 26, 2024 4:45 pm

  p.s. forgot to add – don’t you just love it when climate averages are quoted to the second decimal place of one degree using data from sites inaccurate to 5 degrees!

EXCELLENT LECTURE BY STEVE KOONIN

Steve Koonin is a highly qualified scientist and he shows the limitations of our understanding of climate science and how the data can easily mislead us. Well worth listening to:

 Steven Koonin on The Limitations of Climate Change Models (youtube.com)

CO2 IS PLANT FOOD AND HERE IS AN EXAMPLE

 “Thanet Earth” is the largest greenhouse area in the UK.

“The glasshouses produce approximately 400 million tomatoes, 24 million peppers and 30 million cucumbers a year, equal to roughly 12, 11 and 8 per cent respectively of Britain’s entire annual production of those salad ingredients.”

Now consider this.

“The complex is powered by combined heat and power systems that create heat, power and carbon dioxide (which is absorbed by the plants) for the greenhouses”

They actually pump the waste CO2 into the greenhouse to improve production levels. 2,000ppm is their target figure – the plants love it, the human workers don’t notice any difference.

Here is a link:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thanet_Earth

DUTCH RESETS POLICY ON CLIMATE

The Dutch elections have finally led to a new coalition government being formed which has listened to what the people said when they voted out the last government.

 Tell the world, the Dutch tractor protests and a War on Net Zero won « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

NO NEED TO WORRY ABOUT CLIMATE RISK SAYS BANKING CHIEF

A really honest banker made a speech explaining why there was no need to worry about climate risk and then was forced to resign. The following link explains and gives a link to his speech.   

HSBC Chief who said investors don’t need to worry about Climate Risk – gets support from thousands and resigns « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

A WARNING TO THE ISLE OF MAN

 Apparently the government of the Isle of Man is keen to reach net zero and so they are planning to change the island's electricity generating system to include large amounts of wind and solar. The linked video by Paul Burgess highlights the major problems of doing this. The same problems exist for the rest of the UK, and anywhere else for that matter.

A Message to the Isle Of Man - What is coming your way with Net Zero (youtube.com) 

UK GOVERNMENT REFUSAL TO HAVE A REFERENDUM ON CLIMATE POLICY

The link below is to an excellent rebuttal to the government's response to a petition to have a referendum on its climate policies. 

The UK government's climate intransigence - by Ben Pile (substack.com)

LATEST CLIMATE STORY GETS DEBUNKED

 Almost every day it seems that another apocalyptic piece of nonsense gets published by our mainstream media. In this latest offering we are told that increased global temperature will cause a decrease in the global economy. Something which sounds plausible to anyone who does not stop to think, but luckily Tony Heller points out the obvious in this short video:

A Real Hockey Stick (youtube.com)

CHECK OUT SOME OF THE MIS-INFORMATION THAT IS BEING PEDDLED BY THE MEDIA

We see so many fear-mongering stories on the news that it can be hard to know what to believe, so it is good to see there is now a monthly fact check available here:

 Climate_Fact_Check_April_2024_Edition_v2__1_.pdf (cfact.org)

PAY TO SEND ELECTRICITY TO THE GRID

 That is what is coming in Australia, according to this article;

Solar power at midday is so useless, they plan to start charging homeowners for generating it « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

A fine example of changing the rules after the poor consume has bought the goods.

C40 CITIES WORKING TO CONTROL THEIR RESIDENTS

Geoff Buys Cars is a popular Youtuber who represents a large number of ordinary people. In the linked video he looks at a shadowy organisation called C40 cities, which is fixated on reducing their residents ability to choose what they eat, the clothes they buy and the cars they drive, plus many other restrictions in order to reach the mythical net zero.

What is 'C40 Cities' about and how does it link ULEZ Expansion with The Clinton Foundation? (youtube.com)

TOO HOT TO LIVE!

Some climate change campaigners are claiming that parts of Arizona are becoming too hot to live in, while the figures show that people are flocking to come and live there! read it here:

Too Hot To Live | Real Climate Science

SPOTLIGHT ON THE VAST CHARITY MONEY BEHIND THE NET ZERO MOVEMENT

Here is an article that lifts the lid on the money bankrolling the green movement. It cannot find out where all the money comes from because charities don't have to reveal their sources, but a lot of it is from other charitable foundations in a vast merry-go-round.

There just might be 74 million reasons environmental charities ignore eagles and whales, and reject zero emission nuclear « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

PUTTING CO2 EMISSIONS IN PERSPECTIVE

People often say things like "its important for us to do our bit to save CO2 emissions by....." and then mention some small thing like reducing our meat consumption, or driving less, etc, etc. What you seldom hear is what the scale of CO2 emissions actually is. A quick search of the internet found the table below which shows the top ten countries for CO2 emissions and then lists over two hundred other countries. The UK is 17th and produces 0.8% of the world's total. 

Individually our small changes will make no discernible difference whatsoever to the effect of CO2 on the weather or world temperature. Even if we went a lot further and cut out the entire emissions of the whole UK it would have no measurable effect. But the effect on our lives would be massive. The cost to the economy would mean severe cuts on government spending. We would all be affected, but the poor would suffer the most.

Top 10 Countries with the Highest CO₂ Emissions in the World (Unit: million tons CO₂) - 2020 EDGAR:*

Country	CO₂ Emissions 2022
China	12667.43
United States	4853.78
India	2693.03
Russia	1909.04
Japan	1082.65
Indonesia	692.24
Iran	686.42
Germany	673.60
South Korea	635.50
Saudi Arabia	607.91

UK                        340.61 (17th)

* the European Union's Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR), 

World total (Approx) 38,000 million tons (38 Giga-tons)

UK STORMS ARE NOT GETTING ANY STRONGER CONCEDES MET OFFICE

Despite conceding that UK storms are NOT getting stronger, the Met Office still refuses to retract a false statement that they were, made on air by a senior Met Office representative. No wonder large numbers of the public are sceptical of anything they are told about the subject.

 Met Office concedes UK storms are not getting stronger - but refuses to retract false climate claim - The Global Warming Policy Foundation (thegwpf.org)

ARCTIC WAS WARMER 9000 YEARS AGO - NEW STUDY

Here's another study that shows that today's temperatures are not unprecedented, as it was hotter as little as 9000 years ago.and life carried on. So the climate changes and we must adapt to it. We cannot stop climate changing.

 Cats, dogs, rabbits, geese and frogs lived in the high Arctic during a hotter era 9,000 years ago « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

£100 MILLION FOR THE WINNER

Firms are beavering away trying to find the best way to capture CO2 and remove it from the atmosphere. You can see how they are doing at this link (from Renewable Guy) 

Musk-backed Xprize carbon removal competition… | Canary Media

I could not find any specific amount of CO2 which they are required to remove, or the cost of it or who is going to pay for it. Even Elon Musk would not be able to afford that! I look forward to China, India and Russia etc, paying their contribution. Or will they be given a free pass?

PROOF THAT SEA LEVELS WERE HIGHER 90000 YEARS AGO

It is estimated that sea levels were globally about 6 to 9 meters higher than today during the last interglacial (~130,000 to 115,000 years ago), when CO2 supposedly peaked at 275 ppm (Sommers et al., 2022). It is currently 420 ppm, suggesting that the link between sea level and CO2 is weak.

Newly Discovered 90,000-Year-Old Human Footprints Reveal How Much Higher Sea Levels Used To Be (notrickszone.com)

ARE THE BANKS WAKING UP TO THE ENORMOUS COST OF NET ZERO?

It would appear that some of the world's biggest banks are now backing away from their previous policy of arguing for achieving net zero as soon as possible. This is welcome news, but it does not put them in a very good light for having shown such poor judgment in the first place. Is the bubble about to burst? I think it will be more like a gradual shift to net zero further into the future. Sometime, never. But not until a huge amount of money has been wasted.

Surprise! The World’s biggest bankers are suddenly energy pragmatists « JoNova (joannenova.com.au)

UK ENERGY SECRETARY INTERVIEW

Following on from last Friday's piece where she wrote a rather weak response to Paul Homewood's letter, here is an interview, reported in The House magazine where she talks about her thoughts and attitudes. 

Claire Coutinho: 'People want us to play a part in climate change, but not at any cost' (politicshome.com)

It would, of course, be impossible to have an Energy Secretary who openly admitted to being a climate sceptic. It is doubtful if a climate sceptic could even be in the cabinet at all, such is the current state of hysteria over the subject of climate change. Those who speak out are almost invariably either retired or on the back benches. Climate change has reached the status of religion.

NET ZERO "WON'T BE PLEASANT" SAYS FORMER ENERGY SECRETARY

The House magazine is widely read among our MPs and it contains a lot of interesting articles on the key issues of the day. The latest edition contains a number of articles on net zero. The link below is to the one by Lord Howell, a former Tory Energy Secretary. He makes a good point, that the net zero push has only just started, but people are led to believe that we are already half way there. As he says, electricity may be currently reducing its reliance on fossil fuels, but electricity is currently less than 20% of the UK's total energy usage. 

"That still leaves some 60 to 70 per cent of fossil fuel energy flows needing to be converted to clean electricity by 2050 or an earlier date. Even with optimism, that’s another three times present electricity output, or a minimum of about another 200 gigawatts (GW) on top of the present 65GW." 

"An almost totally new grid system – four to five times the present capacity – will be necessary to bring greatly expanded wind-sourced electricity onshore, and connect up new nuclear sites with strings of new pylons to deliver it. We will also rely heavily on new interconnectors to bring in electricity, and gas, from neighbours at peak times."  Why he thinks our neighbours will be able to spare so much electricity when they are undergoing the same major transition I have no idea.

 The path to net-zero won’t be pleasant (politicshome.com)

GOVERNMENT CONTROL OF OUR HOME ENERGY IS COMING

As so-called "smart devices" are being developed which can be controlled remotely, it was inevitable that the government would be told that this was a way to reduce energy use to get to net zero. How could they resist? The link below includes a government survey, but it's not aimed at the public, it is aimed at the businesses that will be supplying the equipment. the ordinary people are being ignored. Most of us do not know anything about this. The problem for the government is they don't know how we will react. We may not be prepared to go along with it.

 Govt Wants To Switch Your Heat Pumps Off | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

NET ZERO POLICY - ANSWERS FROM THE MINISTER DON'T ADD UP

Claire Coutinho is the UK Secretary of State for the Department of Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) In the link below she replies to a letter from  a constituent, written by Paul Homewood. Sadly she seems to have no real answers to the serious issues that the country will be facing in the next decade. This is the unfortunate consequence of using short term governments to plan long term projects. By the time the errors become clear the people who put the policy in place have left office 

 Claire Coutinho Replies! | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD LISTEN TO JACOB REES-MOGG

Here is a link to the latest words from the former minister and  influential back bench MP. The government do not have time to make a credible change of direction before the election, sadly. But it is interesting to hear them at last speaking out.  

 Jacob Rees-Mogg: We can delay the net zero fantasy and make cheap energy Britain's reality (gbnews.com)

ELECTRIC CAR TIME BOMB

It has become apparent for a long time that the most expensive part of an EV is the battery which has a limited life. This fact is becoming widely known and is a major factor in putting people off buying one. This has now been picked up by the major national press here in the UK, see the link below: 

The used electric car timebomb -  EVs could become impossible to sell on because battery guarantees won't last - find out if you are affected | Daily Mail Online