Friday, 17 May 2019

HALF OF MEASURED 21st CENTURY WARMING DUE TO EL NINO

This article has the details. The observed rate of warming — when we ignore the natural fluctuations in the climate system (which, along with severe weather events dominate “climate change” news) — is only about one-half of that projected by climate models at this point in the 21st Century. 

This fraction is consistent with the global energy budget study of Lewis & Curry (2018) which analysed 100 years of global temperatures and ocean heat content changes, and also found that the climate system is only about 1/2 as sensitive to increasing CO2 as climate models assume.

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