Thursday 22 September 2022

EXTREME WEATHER NOT INCREASING SAYS NEW REPORT

Here is the evidence to refute all the spurious claims about extreme weather.  

No Positive Trends In Extreme Weather Found | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT (wordpress.com)

What we are constantly being told on the TV news and in the press are simply exaggeration put out by scientists whose jobs depend on finding an increase in extreme weather. Why do the TV companies never publish reports that challenge the so-called consensus? I believe there is only one explanation - they want to push out propaganda.


8 comments:

  1. There are several more peer reviewed papers supporting extreme weather increase. And this is old stuff. The summer in the United States has blown away high temperature records alone. Along with that comes other extreme records.


    https://skepticalscience.com/extreme-weather-global-warming-intermediate.htm

    There is growing empirical evidence that warming temperatures cause more intense hurricanes, heavier rainfalls and flooding, increased conditions for wildfires and dangerous heat waves.

    There are numerous examples of increased extreme weather frequency already being attributed to humans in the published peer-reviewed scientific literature. For example, Pall et al. (2011):

    "Here we present a multi-step, physically based ‘probabilistic event attribution’ framework showing that it is very likely that global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions substantially increased the risk of flood occurrence in England and Wales in autumn 2000"

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    1. Just show me the actual DATA - not "probabilistic event attribution frameworks", whatever that may mean.

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    2. Below are all peer reviewed papers on the subject you say hasn't increased in severe storms when the opposite is true.


      Pall et al. (2011):

      "Here we present a multi-step, physically based ‘probabilistic event attribution’ framework showing that it is very likely that global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions substantially increased the risk of flood occurrence in England and Wales in autumn 2000"

      Min et al. (2011):

      "Here we show that human-induced increases in greenhouse gases have contributed to the observed intensification of heavy precipitation events found over approximately two-thirds of data-covered parts of Northern Hemisphere land areas."

      Dai et al. (2011):

      "All the four forms of the PDSI show widespread drying over Africa, East and South Asia, and other areas from 1950 to 2008, and most of this drying is due to recent warming. The global percentage of dry areas has increased by about 1.74% (of global land area) per decade from 1950 to 2008."

      Zwiers et al. (2011):

      "Therefore, it is concluded that the influence of anthropogenic forcing has had a detectable influence on extreme temperatures that have impacts on human society and natural systems at global and regional scales"

      Coumou & Rahmstorf (2012):

      "Here, we review the evidence and argue that for some types of extreme — notably heatwaves, but also precipitation extremes — there is now strong evidence linking specific events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate. For other types of extreme, such as storms, the available evidence is less conclusive, but based on observed trends and basic physical concepts it is nevertheless plausible to expect an increase."

      Hansen et al. (2012):

      "we can state, with a high degree of confidence, that extreme anomalies such as those in Texas and Oklahoma in 2011 and Moscow in 2010 were a consequence of global warming because their likelihood in the absence of global warming was exceedingly small."

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    3. Where are the figures - the data!

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    4. The peer reviewed papers are listed.

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  2. The west in the United States has suffered the worst drought in 1200 years.


    https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/09/climate-change-latest-stories-23-september/

    1. Climate change: How global warming fuelled extreme climate disasters in 2022
    This year has seen a variety of extreme climate disasters, from flooding in Pakistan to wildfires across Europe. Climate change has exacerbated the intensity of these events, as global warming increases the evaporation of surface waters into the atmosphere, drying areas with little rain and increasing rainfall in others.


    5. What is a megadrought, and how is it impacting major regions in the United States?
    A megadrought is a drought that persists for decades. The longer the drought, the more devastating the effects are on the surrounding ecosystem.

    A UCLA study published earlier this year, found that a drought in the American West and Southwest is the most extreme megadrought in the last 1,200 years. For California, the effects have been severe, ranging from citizens being forced to ration their water to farmers resorting to growing less water-intensive crops.

    The cause of this megadrought? Climate change - as this megadrought can directly be attributed to high temperatures and low precipitation levels according to the UCLA study.


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  3. If you really want to know the history of California's weather then read this article. There is nothing new about it.

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    1. Watts Up With That is the denier world on steroids. California broke lots of temperature records along with other states out west in the same boat. All through the temperature records in the United States since about the 1960s, the ratio of warm records to cold records has increased steadily. Along with that comes stronger heat waves, (true and verified), stronger droughts (true and verified), stronger storms (true and verified).

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