The compilation of land- and sea-surface [thermometer] uncertainty yield a 1900-2010 global air-temperature record anomaly of 0.86 ± 1.92°C (2 σ), which renders impossible any conclusion regarding the rate or magnitude of climate warming since 1850 or earlier.” – Dr. Patrick Frank (2023)
New Study: 1900-2010 Global Warming So Uncertain Any Rate Or Magnitude Conclusion ‘Impossible’ (notrickszone.com)
110 years is a long time. As a matter of fact with statistices as shown below of the different global data sets of temperature, this is what solidifies that we are warming. The uncertainty of the temperature trend is about 7/8s lower than the average upwards trend.
ReplyDeleteI've used this site many times to rebut the claims of false claims on the internet.
https://skepticalscience.com/trend.php
Gistempv3 data base
start date
1900 2010
Units
*C/decade
Moving average
12 months
Trend: 0.082 ±0.010 °C/decade (2σ)
Gistemp v4
start date
1900 2010
Units
*C/decade
Moving average
12 months
Trend: 0.082 ±0.011 °C/decade (2σ)
Berkeley
start date
1900 2010
Units
*C/decade
Moving average
12 months
Trend: 0.089 ±0.009 °C/decade (2σ)
Hadcrut4krigv2
start date
1900 2010
Units
*C/decade
Moving average
12 months
Trend: 0.072 ±0.010 °C/decade (2σ)
with HadSST4
start date
1900 2010
Units
*C/decade
Moving average
12 months
Trend: 0.081 ±0.010 °C/decade (2σ)
.1 degree trend per decade looks pretty mild. Gee it can't be than bad. Lets take a shorter trend on this and see how it comes out.
Gee it only looks like .08 degrees per decade trend from 1900 to 2010. What are all those scientists so worried about. Turns out its the end points of the data that tell the story. 1950 to 2023 looks like twice as the .08. 1990 to 2023 shows a trend of .196 */decade.
30 years is considered the clear trend in climate science. We are looking at 2.5 times the per decade trend in the 110 year data base.
This is why human caused climate change is considered so dangerous. One has to be careful in deciding who is telling the truth in science.
this will be all gistempv3 */decade moving average 12 months
1950 to 2023
Trend: 0.144 ±0.017 °C/decade (2σ)
1960 to 2023
0.164 ±0.021 °C/decade (2σ)
1970 to 2023
rend: 0.181 ±0.027 °C/decade (2σ)
1980 to 2023
Trend: 0.175 ±0.037 °C/decade (2σ)
1990 to 2023
Trend: 0.196 ±0.058 °C/decade (2σ)
2000 to 2023
Trend: 0.214 ±0.102 °C/decade (2σ)
2010 to 2023
Trend: 0.388 ±0.307 °C/decade (2σ)
2020 to 2023
insufficient data to calculate
Trend: 0.196 ±0.058 °C/decade (2σ)
Trend: 0.175 ±0.037 °C/decade (2σ)
Did you read the paper?
ReplyDeleteDid you read my data off of skeptical science.
DeleteI presented data from several sets of global data showing a much different result than the one by Dr. Patrick Frank.
All I needed for this was the info 1900 to 2010
0.86 + or - 1.92*C (2 sigma)
I followed the format of the author's premise about temperature trend. I have shown by several data sets listed that they disagree with your author's presentation about world average temperature trend.
Doubters have never proven temperature records are inaccurate. I have been on notiricks zone before and it is based on disinformation. Sleptical science has a great deal of information based in sound science.
https://skepticalscience.com/surface-temperature-measurements.htm