Thursday 10 April 2008
GOVERNMENT PUBLISHES PAPER PREDICTING GLOBAL COOLING TO 2020
Melanie Philips, in her excellent article in the Spectator, has found a link on the UK government Treasury website to a paper predicting global temperatures to cool by 1.5C by 2020. The question is - if they have posted the paper, why have they not accepted its message?
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Does HM Treasury Really Expect Temperatures To Fall 1.5C By The Year 2020?
ReplyDeleteThis is just a blog rumour: that the HM Treasury website has a paper forecasting that temperatures will fall by 1.5C by the year 2020. Cue X-Files music etc. Needless to say things are not what they seem.
The paper cited was one of several dozen of UNSOLICITED responses HM Treasury received in response to the Stern Report; they listed and posted all of them. Govt’s tend to do that kind of thing. This is the complete list of responses:
http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/sternreview_responses2.cfm
The one cited is by David Archibald, a geologist. Link here.
http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/5/7/solar_cycles_24_and_25_and_predicted_climate_response_22nd_october.pdf
Many of the papers sent in contradict each other, e.g. another paper listed is by the eco pressure group Friends of the Earth
http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/F/F/Stern2_final_Mar06.pdf
but none of these reflect UK Govt opinion any more than Archibald’s does. They’re just papers that were submitted in response to Stern.
So much ado about nothing in this case.