Wednesday, 15 July 2026

DEATHS FROM THE HEATWAVES ARE A WORK OF FICTION

The claim about 2,700 deaths comes from a study by Imperial College, which, it turns out, didn’t count any actual deaths at all.

Rather, it was a piece of statistical modelling which tried to estimate the number of deaths which might have occurred during the heatwave, based on the temperatures recorded over the past weeks and patterns of excess mortality seen during previous hot spells. 

The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) records actual deaths for every week of the year and compares them with the number of people who have died in the same week in recent years. If more people have died this year than the average of the past five years, then that difference is labelled ‘excess mortality’.

So, what does the real-world data say for this year? In the week ending May 31, which included the first heatwave when a record temperature of 35.1C (95.2F) was reached in west London, the UKHSA reports that it detected ‘no signal of high mortality above the baseline’.

Read it all in Yesterday's Mail. Link: 

 ROSS CLARK: How claims by climate scientists that 2,700 people were killed by the heatwaves in May and June are hysterical hot air | Daily Mail Online

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